Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Country: Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, New Caledonia (France), Niue (New Zealand), Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, World
Climatologists now agree that the world is facing an unfolding El Niño event. The European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting says that more than half of all climate models are now predicting an El Niño stronger than 1997/8.
Rainfall & El Niño
Less rain in south western Pacic, plunging some countries into drought. More rain in equatorial countries from June -August 2015. If the El Niño is very severe, rainfall may drop steeply from September onwards
Cyclones
Cyclone season is likely to be longer with more intense cyclones forming over a wider area